This Lichtman guy is probably one of the most pompous, arrogant and pretentious professors out there. After this election after he realized how badly he got it wrong, he decided it was us VOTERS that went wrong, he said to CNN 'the keys depend on a rational electorate' and that 'misinformation' was another reason his keys went awry. WHAT? His model doesn't account for that? OK... that simply means he is a buffoon. What went wrong is his absolute blindness due to his extreme liberal bias. If he had applied them 'correctly' and more sanely than he did on his video of it Trump was clearly the one that would have been predicted.
@MrsMarie-gv9di Says:
Old dude was wrong 😂
@anime_disliker5289 Says:
The key shaman tried to warn us that dropping Biden was a mistake. The key spirits were very angered by their chosen candidate having his party betray him so callously.
@SixxPathsOfPain Says:
Well this didnt age well did it
@williamdavis4809 Says:
Camela 🤣
@xx_sanic_da_heg_hoge_xx420 Says:
can we stop listening to this clown now?
@karatmojica Says:
Incorrect. God's wisdom far surpasses human intellect. He ended up putting his foot in his mouth.
@colinhiggins4779 Says:
This aged well lol
@tch4874 Says:
Hey its me again, rememeber when I correctly predicted he was going to be wrong on this one weeks back?
Yeah I WAS RIGHT SO SUCK IT DEMS
@TrightTright Says:
😂😂😂😂😂😂
@patriced8643 Says:
Might be time to retire that prediction model...
@buddycider3670 Says:
Hahahahahahhahahah looks like he’s wrong again!!!!
@agrimpuriya2585 Says:
Nostradamus my ass. Trump 2024
@Zam1Fear Says:
This aged like a fine milk on a hot summer day.
@sepehrrafiei509 Says:
That's tough lil bro, didn't age well huh
@waynechristopherpatrickhaa7528 Says:
I am picking that they will need new keys after this election...TRUMP-MANIA_2024
@TheRajmoney Says:
Fluke
@Jerry-u3v Says:
Welp, i dont doubt the veracity of his thought out methodolgy, but the election just started and Trump is already deep the lead haha Maybe a misinterpretation of the variables? Maybe new variables to consider for more accurate results? who knows.
@MarcelPoulin-c8u Says:
america you will have what you deserve if you vote the harris
@vidmikes Says:
What the hell is he talking about? There was no primary for Harris, she has no charisma, the economy sucks, immigration sucks… what??
@CenterThePendulum Says:
When the dust settles, this model failed because it didn’t factor the challenger having incumbency favor.
@DerekBoldiene360 Says:
That Al Gore Was Bull Shit He Got Cheated Out.
@JoshLoudermilk-v2w Says:
We all know they will cheat again
@FreaksSpeaks Says:
So, it will be 9 out of 11? Aged not very well.
@gracielaluna2025 Says:
Claro!que la genteVota!y escucha a Litchman, y Vota!anticipado!!Kamala ♥️ para Presidenta ♥️ 😊❤
@StroBossMan Says:
We are doomed of this woman become president.
@richardramfire3971 Says:
If kamala wins she will be there for 9 years. They will flood the swing states with illegal migrants and fast track them to citizenship. I’m no republican or trump supporter but this woman is far more dangerous than trump
@rc8839 Says:
Four logical reasons why Harris will win by a wider margin than Biden.
1) New voters (Americans turned 18 and newly minted immigrant citizens) - They are more liberal and tend to vote Democratic
2) Women voters - Roe V Wade repeal has turned many former republican women voters to support Harris
3) Moderate Republicans - A sizable chunk of moderate republicans who voted Trump in 2016 are disillusioned, will either refrain from voting or vote Harris
4) Older white demographic decline - Primarily Trump supporters, their numbers have decreased in the last 6 years due to age related or Covid related deaths.
@NickyMiceli Says:
Made the call way too early.
@pinkdog12 Says:
Harris is going to ein
@cordellwalker-wn7nq Says:
Normally this gentleman is correct but i feel he has been bought in this election
@keeperathome1970 Says:
There is ABSOLUTELY SOCIAL UNREST!!! Trump2024🎉
@EvelynBulaoro Says:
Dont believe this man he is crazy harris will win because the demons will cheat again😅😅😅
@dumitrubranisteanu7568 Says:
Allan Lichtman's 13 prevision keys are appealing and proven to work in many elections. However, I don't think that his 2024 prediction is accurate, for three reasons.
1. The interpretation of the keys is made by Lichtman himself and may be this time subjective. Allan Lichtman is clearly strongly biased against Donald Trump - see his comments in the above video. He claims that the Dems are OK in short and long term economy (keys 5 and 6), which appear to be completely false - initial expenses and energy policy lead to rampant inflation and steep increase of prices. Artificial inflation breakdown by 13 government interventions in the last 2 years did not lower the high prices, but increased bank interest rates, therefore the standard of live of the middle class decreased strongly. Lichtman claims that there is no social unrest and no major scandal (keys 7 and 8), although the border policy lead to the entrance in the US of millions of illegal immigrants, accompanied by an increase in crimes and supplementary economic burden. Other policy modifications, such as "defund the police" lead to riots and social unrest. Allan Lichtman suggests that there is no major problem with respect to military success or failure, despite shameful Afghanistan retreat, expensive chronicization of the Russian invasion in Ukraine and a bizarre lack of clear support for Israel under constant terrorist attack. This modification of interpetation alone will increase the number of unfulfilled keys to 6 in place of 4.
2. The 13 keys system is supposed to prognose the winner of the POPULAR vote, and NOT the winner of the ELECTORAL vote. With this respect, Allan Lichtman was WRONG for the 2016 elections, where the winner of the POPULAR vote was Hillary Clinton and NOT Donald Trump, who won the ELECTORAL vote, but NOT the POPULAR vote. Similarly, it is quite probable that Kamala Harris will win the POPULAR vote in 2024, however, NOT the ELECTORAL vote, which is tightly dependent of the results in the swing states.
3. Finally, these are no typical elections, therefore the history of previous elections on which the 13 keys prognosis system is based may not work here. Why not typical? Donald Trump is a non-conventional candidate, with a different message, who was already proven to be efficient for economy and to respect his promises during his mandate before Covid19, whereas Kamala Harris is the flip-flop candidate, with a dark history of profound marxist ideas.
@MagsNeu Says:
Well, that’s funny because there’s another guy who does a lot of predictions on here says the Trump is going to win so that just goes to show you that neither one of them know what the hell they’re talking about
@Stephen_Strange Says:
Shouldn't Hillary have won in 2016? Why (according to the keys) did she not win?
@uberfu Says:
05:59 WTF is she talking about ? Trump CANNOT leaglly use campaign funds toward his personal legal burdens. Regardless of whether he is doing that and subverting election finanace laws or not.
@uberfu Says:
I sure AF hope this dude is right. The US can't handle another 4 years of this version of Trump. Bitter and slighted and vengeful.
@bluemoon7628 Says:
Disagree, Kamala did not win primary she rather dropped off of primary due to a lack of votes, Trump absolutely has charisma, Hunter Biden Laptop is proven to be true and directly affects current administration. So, Trump 7, Kamala 5, Trump will win!
@NagiAli-x5w Says:
❤❤❤trump
@bubblesmerto6399 Says:
Your wrong this time
@bubblesmerto6399 Says:
Trump Vance 2024
@geraldthebusdriver3491 Says:
The democrats pushed Biden out purposely to cheat the election once again
@christineelisabethschmidtg8063 Says:
Trump will be stolen .there will be a masdive fraude .in california undocumented can vote and those who vote dont need show document .most likely this masdive fraude will lead to deeper devision .i predict segredation of several ststes if the fraude comes up .and inner trouble .i predict a huge chaos after it and events of mayor importance .my opinion and heart for trump.after harris it will get more nasty and into socialist nanny state but thevreally turmoil will be 2025 .a mess on earth .2024 even extremly terrible already in compsration to 2025 nothing .many prefict tge same .soros has a deep stake in it .elites want to dissolve usa .i predict it will be a militsry coup somewhere 2025 in between happen many things .very unfortunate forvthe rest of world and if ysa goes no place to hide.at the end i think usa will in a hsrd landing be united .for europe it means no awareness neonazis on uprraise this neonazis half china nwo controlled .most likely they will hang the rwst on rfid .the main part 90 percebt in usa wont allow it and diplomacy with russia .there will be deep division .minorities inside usa europe are in risk and white people in am lat .it was warned .many saw it coming .it is sad scsry i am helpless but serve the truth .every road to dix it wqs deny of fanstics who pull machine like tiranic control through .it most likely ends. With collaps of electronica like many predict internet and financial deffaults lo ke many predict .usa will come out .50 percebt know whats going on .therewill be merger payriots citizan with army who wants peace .usa was edged for nwo wars .but the danger is that there us radicalisation of miliatrised forves in usa into right wing .if harris wins a great concern .
@BabyGarcia-h5m Says:
If she wins the world better get ready for catastrophe remember i said it
@brightclassics Says:
Allan Lichtman is HEAVILY biased in favour of the Democrats.
He did not devide the keys, objectively.
Please watch 1440 news which is really balanced and NOT in favor of either candidates.
Lichtman his prediction is based upon his biased political opinions. I went to look his sites!
@tomons8059 Says:
This is the second time this "prophet" gets it wrong. People are tired that they became poorer during this Democrat's reign, so much government money is spent pampering illegal immigrants with so many still coming as the Democrats sabotage this country's immigration policy, law and order in disarray with the Democrats weaponizing the Justice department to cut to pieces its policital enemies. People are fed up and will vote Trump for the Nov. 2024 presidential election.
@michaeljacobs5433 Says:
This guy is washed, strong short and long term economy and foreign success? Need to redefine your terms 😂
No keys that considers boarder security which is a big factor this election.
No primary contest with a different candidate has never happened before and it isn’t positive, it’s sketchy and unjust.
@Djsexton25 Says:
IF THAT COW WINS IT WILL BE BECAUSE THEY CHEATED DOING SO MANY DIRTY THINGS LIKE ALLOWING ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS TO VOTE, HELP CAUSING DISASTERS SO THERE’S LOSS OF LIFE AND THE PEOPLE THAT SURVIVE LOSES EVERYTHING AND GOD ONLY KNOWS WHAT ELSE THEY WILL COME UP WITH 🤬 SHE IS OF INDIAN DESCENT ALSO BUT THAT DOES NOT MATTER BECAUSE OBAMA WASN’T BORN IN AMERICA EITHER AND THEY LET HIM BE PRESIDENT! GOD WILL COME GET HIS PEOPLE AND SAVE THEM FROM THE EVIL ON EARTH!
@Barry_the_dog Says:
If Kamala wins she will be the last president the USA will ever have
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