'Inbuilt errors' in polling methodology makes predicting the US election winner difficult
'Inbuilt errors' in polling methodology makes predicting the US election winner difficult
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@mypetvelociraptor Says:
The only way she can win is by cheating. Anyone who’s in America knows it’s not even close.
@davidpar2 Says:
Trump was behind Hillary in the polls for the _entire_ 2016 election cycle, including in the last few days when it was within the margin of error. And who won? Lol not Hillary
@newdefsys Says:
Errors ? They're cooking the formula to get the results they want.
@colonelklink9911 Says:
Jevv overload.
@davidjohnmohn Says:
I can do polling from the aspect of rally attendance, genuine energy, and issues of government malfeasance
@theendmyfriend Says:
Whats polls got to do with anything. Millions of ballots just get pumped in by mostly dnc klukluxkrats and soros ngo's. How can all these orgs be authorised to register and collect manufacture ballots votes. How can private companies own the ballot presses and count the votes while offering f all transparency. Whole system is mess of rigged interests.
@Gungho1a Says:
Fair go,trump rightly claimsfive hundred million americans attend his rallies, and thats only the common man, as he calls them. He's making deutschland great again. oh, sorry the US.
@Super_Mario128 Says:
I hate Sharma, he’s a LINO
@EmperorDalekTARDed Says:
After Tuesday it's goodbye Harris and hello President Trump. You had better get used to it or join Harris on her one way ticket to Venezuela.
@Xfrosty91 Says:
Kamala has a larger coalition so she will be the winner it's that simple,even upper middle class white people who voted for him in 2016 have broken away from maga
@emperordalektardis Says:
After Tuesday it's goodbye Trump and hello President Harris. You had better get used to it or join Trump in his one way ticket to Venezuela.
@angelareminiscenza6233 Says:
How much did Trump pay and his clan pay you! Why are you defending this evil man! Stay out of it! Worry about your own business! You have as much hatred as he has!
@VK6AB- Says:
The 7 major betting markets average Trump ~ 54% probability of a win, Harris 44%, a clear cut 10 point gap in favour of Trump. Almost identical to Nate Silvers 55:45. The most accurate pollster last cycle was Atlas Intel, Trump is ahead in Battlegrounds (the first number below from Atlas Intel state surveys), the second number is State RCP average (in brackets). Wisconsin - Trump +1, (Harris +0.3) --> 2016 RCP average Clinton +6.5 Michigan - Trump +2, (Harris +0.9)--> 2016 RCP average Clinton +3.4 Pennsylvania - Trump +2 (Trump +0.3)--> 2016 RCP average Clinton +1.9 Nevada - Trump +6 (Trump +1)--> 2016 RCP average Trump +0.8 North Carolina - Trump +4 (Trump +1.5)--> 2016 RCP average Trump +1 Arizona - Trump +6 (Trump +2.6)--> 2016 RCP average Trump +4 Georgia - Trump +2 (Trump +1.9)--> 2016 RCP average Trump +4.8 Every piece of data suggests a Trump win, albeit in a tight race in a number of battle ground states. Please note 80% of polls have errors that significantly favour the Democrats. Also note the NYT/Sienna poll between 2014 and 2022 error favoured Democrats 77%. The reasons for this should need no explanation. The best you can do is go out and vote and make sure likeminded friends and family do the same.
@ItsMeRando2013 Says:
No if's or buts. I saw Lara Tump say Kevin is untenable as Ambassador.
@RalfPinkaire-f7w Says:
The fix is in. No way can Trump win this.
@Prognosis__ Says:
The Hollywood celebrities would be in a double panic now..first Diddy, now trump is back 😂
@surak1841 Says:
Polls will say whatever you pay them to say, then they ask 250 people and then give a % to all people. And there's never any comeback as they just point to 250 and say It would have been different if you had 250 other people, money for nothing...
@tomhicks1009 Says:
The biggest blue Tsunami is starting to crest on the horizon. The radical MAGA movement is about to be destroyed
@HMASJervisBay Says:
Oh nonsense. A media beat up, as they don't have the guts to say Trump will win easily. Over 60 million have voted, which says the Trumpster has won.
@KazSoto-y2y Says:
It's too bad that Kamala Harris can't just be disqualified from the Presidential Race already, since the Democratic Party INSTALLED her, not have her go through a Democratic Primary first in order to get nominated as the Democratic Running Candidate. When's the last time it was LEGAL for a Republican and/or Democratic Candidate to SKIP having a MONTHLY PRIMARY and be SELECTED, NOT ELECTED??? My guess is that if Kamala Harris ends up seemingly winning the Election, Donald Trump and hopefully the rest of the MAGA AVENGERS(JD Vance, Vivek Ramaswamy, RFK JR, Tulsi Gabbard, and Elon Musk) will already have a LEGAL TEAM OF TOP LAWYERS ready to bring forth every piece of EVIDENCE that points out all of the CHEATING and SINISTER TACTICS that the Current Democratic Party used in order to make sure Kamala Harris wins by ANY MEANS NECESSARY. Because, let's be real. Is having a certain Candidate who did nothing but mess up as both BORDER CZAR and VICE PRESIDENT, along with being a crooked PROSECUTOR early on in her career, really going to be allowed to run our North American Country? All that's going to prove is how NOID(NAIVE, OBLIVIOUS, IGNORANT, AND/OR DELUSIONAL) any every day American Citizens who voted for this Incompetent excuse of a Politician has become. And it will also prove that so many people in powerful positions of authority that we thought we could trust or rely on with our livelihoods, were mostly just POWER and/or MONEY HUNGRY this whole time. The ONE REASON why PRESIDENT TRUMP had all of us SUPPORTERS of him, VOTE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE, was MAINLY to be allowed more than just 1 to 3 days for Mostly REPUBLICAN POLLSTERS to INTERCEPT as much FRAUDULENT VOTING as possible, that will mostly be committed by any DEMOCRATIC POLLSTERS. And that means that all of this Fraudulent Voting will be done through DUPLICATE VOTES, HAVING ILLEGAL MIGRANTS VOTE UNDER THE NAMES OF REGISTERED AMERICANS, USING THE DOMINION VOTING MACHINES TO GLITCH SWITCH THE CHECK MARKS FROM TRUMP/VANCE TO HARRIS/WALZ, TAKING A NUMBER OF PAPER BALLOTS WITH TRUMP/VANCE CHECKED AND EITHER TRASH THEM OR BURN THEM, USE DEAD PEOPLES NAMES AS REGISTERED VOTERS FOR HARRIS/WALZ, OR JUST HAVE CERTAIN SECURITY PERSONNEL TURN AWAY JUST ABOUT ANY REPUBLICAN VOTERS MOSTLY WHEN THOSE WHO ARE THE DEMOCRATIC PART OF THE VOTING SYSTEM SUSPECT THAT THE NUMBER OF REGISTERED REPUBLICAN VOTERS ARE OUTNUMBERING THE AMOUNT OF DEMOCRATIC VOTERS. PRESIDENT TRUMP did say that We have to make this election, "TOO BIG TO RIG!" Let's just hope that President Trump finds a way to turn everything around within the next 70 to 75 days after the Election Night if he supposedly loses. Because PERSONALLY, Trump does not just DESERVE this Presidential Position, but he has just about EARNED this Presidential Position, SO MANY TIMES OVER for the last 4 years. And on an Extra Note, All of us MAGA PATRIOTS, may need to come up with a LIST of SAFETY MEASURES, CONTINGENCY PLANS, EXIT STRATEGIES, PERSONAL BIO SHEETS, EMERGENCY SUPPLIES, TOOLS AND WEAPONS TO DEFEND OURSELVES(especially against anymore ILLEGAL MIGRANT CRIMINALS that Kamala Harris, Tim Walz and the rest of the Radical Leftists and Neocon RINOs will continue to allow Crossing Into Our American Borders), TYPES OF PADDING THAT CAN MAKE OUR BODIES DURABLE ENOUGH TO SURVIVE ANY COMMON FORMS OF DEADLY FORCE, and any other PROTOCOLS that will be IMPERATIVE/MANDATORY to hopefully survive the next 4 years of KAMALA HARRIS' CORRUPT AMERICA. On one more Extra note, we as MAGA PATRIOTS will also have to become PSYCHOLOGICAL HEALERS to help cure as many people as possible who have been INFECTED by the PSYCHOSIS known as TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME, since I feel that this was one other thing that we as self aware Patriots could have done a better job at. And one MESSAGE I have for Every HOLLYWOOD Celebrity that SUPPORTED and ENDORSED KAMALA HARRIS. KNOW THIS: THE MAJORITY OF YOUR FAN BASES, ARE PEOPLE OF THE MIDDLE CLASS. SO GOOD LUCK HAVING MAINLY JUST PEOPLE OF THE HIGH CLASS(which will be about only 20 to 30% of your FAN BASES) TO BUY YOUR PRODUCTS AND ATTEND YOUR EVENTS. AND IF YOU GUYS AND GALS REALLY WANT TO DO WHAT'S RIGHT, IT WOULD BE BEST THAT ALL OF YOU JUST STAND UP TO EVERY HANDLER OF YOURS AND FIGHT BACK ALREADY. EVEN IF IT MEANS HAVING YOURSELVES EXPOSED FOR ALL OF THE TWISTED ACTS OF DEBAUCHERY THAT WILL MOST LIKELY END WITH ALL OF YOU BEING CONDEMNED AND BOYCOTTED BY A MAJORITY OF YOUR FANBASES. IT WOULD BE BETTER THAN HAVING TO DEAL WITH THE GUILT, SHAME AND REGRET THAT YOU GUYS AND GALS WILL PROBABLY/MOST LIKELY FEEL FROM ALL THE CHAOS AND DESTRUCTION THAT ALL OF YOU HELPED BRING IN TO OUR NORTH AMERICAN COUNTRY BY SUPPORTING AND ENDORSING KAMALA HARRIS STRAIGHT TO THE OVAL OFFICE. And One more last message to every American Citizen out there who hasn't voted yet, especially while waiting for ELECTION DAY. It would be for the best that DONALD TRUMP be the candidate that every last one of you who hasn't voted yet, choose to become PRESIDENT. And to any and all of you REGISTERED REPUBLICANS, REGISTERED DEMOCRATS and other INDEPENDENT VOTERS who have not voted yet, Whatever HATRED you might still have For DONALD TRUMP, please just SWALLOW YOUR PRIDE, RESIST the LEFTIST PROPAGANDA, and Focus on just his POLICIES. Don't let your reason for choosing KAMALA HARRIS as PRESIDENT, only be because you just HATE TRUMP, because that is probably one of the STUPIDEST REASONS to choose another candidate at all. Also know that Because KAMALA HARRIS hardly did her job as BORDER CZAR and VICE PRESIDENT, then she is mainly going to hardly do her job as PRESIDENT as well. PLEASE, don't be a number of more contributors to the FUTURE CHAOS and DESTRUCTION of our NORTH AMERICAN COUNTRY. Help our UNITED STATES PROSPER again by choosing DONALD J TRUMP for PRESIDENT. AND PS KNOW that This was NEVER an ARGUMENT of "MY CANDIDATES BETTER THAN YOURS", It is SOULY about bringing the UNITED STATES back to its PROSPEROUS FUNCTIONAL STATE. To anyone reading this message in the comment section, copy and paste this message to share with everyone you can who has not voted yet as this message may help with getting as many more votes as possible for TRUMP/VANCE. Thank You
@EmperorDalekTARDed Says:
Yeah, they don't include all those people who aren't allowed to publicly say they are Trump supporters, out of concern left wing fascists will "prevent them from existing".
@matthewflinders1978 Says:
Polling is straightforward until Trump is leading in the polls, then there’s a problem😂🤣😂
@bobhawke7373 Says:
Joe Biden smashed Trump 306-232 and 8 million more votes. It wasn't close 😂
@peterbardy1296 Says:
Doug Emhoff: “Kamala Did What Kamala Always Does. She Put Her Head Down and Went to Work”

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